Look to stock market not polls to predict White House race – AL.com

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Beginning Monday stop following polls to see who is winning the race for the White House and instead follow the ups and downs of the stock market.

One expert who has taken a historic look tells CNNMONEY that Wall Street is a much better predictor of who will win the presidency.

Sam Stovall, a stock market expert at S&P Global Market Intelligence said the critical time to watch what is happening on Wall Street to predict the election is the next three months – Aug. 1 through Oct. 31.

Stovall said if stocks go up during that three-month stretch, expect Clinton to win. If stocks slide, Trump will likely prevail.

Those critical three months have been astonishingly accurate at predicting the next president, Stovall said.

Stovall looked at the data for every presidential election going back to 1944. If stocks rose in price from July 31 to October 31, the party that currently controlled the White House won the election 82% of the time.

This year, the key stretch will start on August 1, since July 31 is a Sunday.

Here is the link to the full CNNMONEY story.