4 Charts That Show the S&P 500 Probably Won’t Fall 15% This Year

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Looking for calming signs amidst this stormy stock market? Let the charts be your bestie.

As of Tuesday’s close, the S&P 500 had retrenched about 8% from its Jan. 26 high. While many investors have chosen to panic by dumping stocks, if they just looked at historical patterns they might have had second thoughts.

“We view this [market selloff] as normal and overdue: 5% plus pullbacks have occurred three times per year on average since 1930, the last of which occurred in June 2016,” points out equities strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “10% corrections have occurred one time per year on average, most recently in the first quarter of 2016, and 15% pullbacks have occurred once every two years (most recently in Aug. 2011).”

Other heavy hitters in the financial sphere echo BofA’s sentiment on the pullback.

Speaking at an event in Frankfurt, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan said the recent selloff is “basically a market event and these things can be healthy.”

If one is not inclined to believe in humans right now, place stock in the historical stock data below.