Don’t Panic! Here Are Five Steps to Crash-Proof Your Portfolio
Monday was the worst day for U.S. stocks in nearly two years. Markets around the world plunged; the S&P 500 index was down 3%. The catalyst was economic data that suggested the economy could tip into a recession.
Whether these fears are overblown or not, the rout in equities begs the question: are you sufficiently prepared for corrections?
For starters, take a deep breath and remember that weakness in the overall market isn’t sufficient reason to dump inherently strong stocks. Markets rise and fall, but over the long run a well-diversified portfolio provides the best gains.
As a rule, don’t let the alarmist headlines spook you into selling. The last thing you want to do is prematurely dump your stocks out of panic. Long-term investors should not be spurred into impulsive actions by short-term declines.
Consider these five steps. They may seem basic, but even seasoned investors sometimes forget the essentials:
- Stop losses
One of the most widely used devices for limiting the amount of loss from a dropping stock is to place a stop-loss order with your broker (see graphic).
Using this order, the trader will pre-set the value based on the maximum loss the investor is willing to tolerate.
If the price drops below this fixed value, the stop loss automatically becomes a market order and gets triggered.
As soon as the price falls below the stop level, the position is closed at the current market price, which prevents any additional losses.
The “trailing stop loss” provides an advantage over a conventional stop loss because it’s more flexible.
It allows the trader to continue protecting his capital if the price drops, but when the price increases, the trailing feature becomes active, enabling an eventual protection of profit while still reducing the risk to capital.
Over time, the trailing stop will self-calibrate, shifting from minimizing losses to protecting profits as the price reaches new highs.
- Cash cushion
Maintain a portion of your portfolio in cash or cash equivalents to take advantage of buying opportunities during a market downturn. An allocation of at least 10% makes sense now, depending on your time to retirement and tolerance for risk.
- Hedging strategies
Use options and futures to hedge against market declines. For example, buying put options can provide downside protection. Consider inverse exchange-traded (ETFs) that increase in value when the market declines, though they are typically used for short-term strategies.
- Alternative investments
Increase your exposure to real assets such as real estate, precious metals (gold, silver), and commodities to provide a hedge against inflation and market volatility.
Real estate is gaining luster, as weak economic data makes it more likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
In addition to benefiting from lower rates, real estate is a tangible asset that tends to retain value over time. Unlike stocks and bonds, which can fluctuate significantly in value, real estate provides a physical asset that has inherent value.
- Defensive stocks
Invest in sectors that perform well regardless of the economic cycle, such as utilities, health care, and consumer staples. Consider ETFs that focus on low volatility stocks.
As a buffer against corrections, I particularly like utilities. This sector includes companies that provide essential services like electricity, water, and natural gas. Demand for these services remains relatively stable regardless of economic conditions.
Even during economic and financial downturns, people still need power and water, ensuring a consistent revenue stream for utility companies. This stability makes utilities less volatile and more reliable during market turbulence.
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